LPL Financial Logo
Today's Date:
Monday, September 28, 2020
LPL Financial Logo
Today's Date:
Monday, September 28, 2020
Home of the Retirement Geeks

June 29, 2015

Midyear Outlook 2015: Some Assembly Required

Few things can dampen the excitement of seeing the delivery of a long-awaited package on the porch than three words—“some assembly required.” Whether it is navigating the confusing instruction manual, sweating through the complicated assortment of parts, or the sinking feeling that you don’t have the right batteries in the closet, sometimes the hard work comes after the delivery truck has driven off. And like any complex assembly, whether it’s a 1,000-piece puzzle, a kid’s shiny new bike, or a plan to navigate tricky economic times, the amount of pieces to collect and put together can be daunting. But the assembly can certainly be made easier with a well-formulated plan, the right tools, and the LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2015: Some Assembly Required as the blueprint for success.

The economy has delivered six consecutive calendar years of positive returns for stocks since the end of the 2008–2009 Great Recession, as measured by the S&P 500 Index; however, constructing a strategy for the remainder of the economic expansion will require a tricky assembly. Divergent monetary policies reveal an uneven global recovery that has triggered an uptick in stock market volatility. A few important pieces requiring assembly for the remainder of 2015 include:

  • How the U.S. economy pieces together the components needed to bounce back from its lackluster start of the year. The U.S. economy hit an unexpected soft patch to start the year due to a severe winter freeze, the West Coast port strikes, ongoing effects of lower oil prices, and the surging U.S. dollar. Returning to a more normalized 3% growth level will be crucial to build further upon the market’s first half gains.
  • After successfully delivering the U.S. economy out of the recessionary “warehouse,” how does the Federal Reserve (Fed) assemble an exit strategy from its six-year policy of zero interest rates? With unprecedented levels of accommodative monetary policy rendering any traditional instruction manual pointless, the Fed will have to use its entire toolbox to construct a delicate increase in interest rates without disrupting the fragile economic growth and the wavering confidence of businesses, consumers, and investors.
  • Corporate earnings growth continues to search for that spark to ignite equity advances. In the U.S., lackluster profits aligned with weak first quarter 2015 economic growth to produce the lowest level of year-over-year corporate earnings growth in 11 quarters. Overseas markets are looking for a power boost from the very accommodative monetary policies of global central banks across Europe and Asia, in an attempt to spur sustainable growth, improve earnings, and avoid deflationary forces.

View the complete Midyear Outlook 2015: Some Assembly Required.

This research material was prepared by LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide or be construed as providing specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.

The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.

All investing involves risk including loss of principal.

Tracking # 1-388787

Disclaimer

Securities, fee-based, and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Advisor, member FINRA/ SIPC, America's No. 1 independent broker / dealer.* Trust services offered through The Private Trust Company N.A., an affiliate of LPL Financial. *Based on total revenues, as reported by Financial Planning magazine, June 1996-2019.

Though our fixed insurance agents are licensed in all 50 states, our LPL Financial registered representatives associated with this Web site may only discuss and/or transact securities business with residents in the states in which they are licensed. Jon Dewar, the LPL Branch Manager is licensed in the following states: California, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. RetirementGeeks & Legacy Life Group, Inc. are independent of LPL Financial.
©2007-2020 Legacy Life Group, Inc. dba RetirementGeeks.com

Contact

RetirementGeeks.com
2840 Plaza Place
Suite 206
Raleigh, NC 27612

Local: 919-881-2850
Toll Free eFax: 800-785-1070
linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram