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Ready, Set, HIKE!

Weekly Economic Commentary

August 25, 2014 - Highlights

The first rate hike by the Fed has never been an indication of a market peak.

On average, the first rate hike has taken place 37% into the economic cycle (measured peak to peak).

The S&P 500 has returned on average, another 58% after the first rate hike (price return) before the market peak for the economic cycle.

The initial market reaction to a rate hike is, on average, negative, but the data show it pays to be invested.

 

 

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